By Jason Johnson
A new Texas Tribune/UT poll released today indicates that the Cruz Surge continues and he’s headed to a runoff with Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst.
Here’s a summary of the new independent, statewide poll:
- Dewhurst is at 38%, Cruz 27% and the next two candidates are 20 points behind at 7%.
- This means the race is headed for a runoff between Cruz and Dewhurst.
- Despite being in statewide office for 14 years and having universal name ID among GOP primary voters, the Lt. Governor is far from closing in on the 50% needed to avoid a runoff. And Cruz is in a solid second place, and surging strongly.
- A runoff would overwhelmingly favor Cruz, given that the most engaged and conservative voters would dominate a runoff – informed conservative voters are a nightmare for Dewhurst.
- Here’s how UT pollster Jim Henson summarizes the situation: “Cruz is in the advantageous position right now of, for the most part, defending his ideas against Dewhurst’s record. In the last few cycles, that’s been a good place to be, and not to be the person who’s having to defend your actions in government.”
- Henson added these numbers are a “yellow flag” for Dewhurst. And the Texas Tribune noted that Cruz is looming in the rearview mirror of Dewhurst.

This poll is great news for Cruz and yet another independent confirmation that Texas conservatives prefer Cruz’s proven conservative record over Dewhurst, the timid career politician.
It’s more important than ever for the campaign to capitalize on this momentum. Can you donate $100, $50, $25 or what you can to help the Cruz campaign get its message out?
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The new Texas Tribune/UT poll show Cruz surging and heading to a runoff, where conservatives will carry the day. And to date, the Cruz campaign hasn’t spent a dime on paid TV or radio. Can you help send a proven conservative fighter to Washington by donating today? Thank you!